Friday Feb 24 – We have another warm day on tap, but will have some clouds to battle with the sun. The numbers from Thursday’s near record warmth are in and they have helped bump the average for this month nearly a full degree. That places February 2017 now at 4th warmest on record. We still have the warm day today, but a transition to much colder air over the weekend will take some steam out of the air. However, there is another warm on next week that should help bump this month to at least 3rd on the list when finish.

Interesting facts following the stats above:

  • Following the warmest Feb in 1976, the winters of 1977 and 1978 were very cold and snowy.
  • Following the 2nd warmest Feb in 1949, Baltimore had the lowest snow total on record in 1950 with 0.7″ for the season.
  • Following the 3rd warmest Feb in 1890, the next winter had 35.9″ snow in 1891 which was 75% increase above average.

Basically this warm month is not an indication of what next winter will be like.. but we have seen extremes on both ends in the past.

Today’s forecast high temperatures are a little lower than yesterday. While I often state that our warm ups end up warmer than forecast, and yesterday we did verify 3 degrees higher than the forecast… the trend is a little lower. This is due to cloud cover today. Not overcast, but you will notice more timing of the sun as the next cold front approaches. I should also point out that immediately by the water, it will be colder. The Chesapeake Bay temperature at Thomas Point Light House is 48°F, so that still had a cooling effect nearby. Note: Today’s record is 79°F set in 1985

 

Stormy Saturday

With the clouds and cold front approaching, it is possible the temps tonight stay near 60F around Baltimore. But the winds will pick up on Saturday. Plan your outdoor events in the morning, as the front with rain and possible thunderstorms will pass during the afternoon. This radar simulation shows the timeline… but the time frame does skip every three hours for the afternoon. My next report will have a little more detail for the arrival of the storms. This will usher in the colder air with highs in the 40s for Sunday. That is closer to reality, but will feel chilly comparatively speaking.

Radar Simulation —> slider HRRR Model

This cold front will be strong, but the snow seen here should stay in the mountains and west. There will be another chance for at least flurries with the nectar cold front at the end of next week. It is still winter for another 4 weeks.

 

Note: Today is the final day for voting in the Baltimore Sun’s Readers Poll. I appreciate the nomination for Best Meteorologist. If you want to vote, click here and scroll down to item 52 and let’s see if we can do it again. Then come back to see the info below.  I see this as a group effort since you are part of what pushes my social media along.

Temperature Outlook

The next warm up should not be a potent, and followed by a pattern change that will last into mid March at least.

 

Record High Temperatures and Dates in Baltimore

Feb 24 1985: 79°F. *Compare to (Friday)

Feb 25 1930: 83°F *Hottest for the month *Compare to (Saturday)

Feb 26 1932*: 74°F Tied the mark set in 1930 *Compare to (Sunday)

 

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